Wyoming Senate 2026 Rep Primary

The Wyoming Senate rep primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model makes Harriet Hageman the clear favorite at 89%, ahead of Sam Mead at 3% in a 5-candidate field. Harriet Hageman leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Harriet Hageman — 89%
2. Sam Mead — 3%
3. Jimmy Skovgard — 3%
4. Jill M. Edwards — 3%
5. John A. Holtz — 3%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model