Wisconsin 7th — House 2026 Rep Primary

The Wisconsin 7th — House rep primary is scheduled for August 11, 2026. The model sees a close race: Michael Alfonso edges Kevin Hermening, 52% to 42% in a 4-candidate field. Michael Alfonso leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Michael Alfonso — 52%
2. Kevin Hermening — 42%
3. Jessi Ebben — 5%
4. Niina Baum — 2%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model