Wisconsin 7th — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Wisconsin 7th — House rep primary is scheduled for August 11, 2026. The model has Michael Alfonso narrowly ahead of Kevin Hermening, 47% to 34% in a 4-candidate field. Kevin Hermening leads the field in reported fundraising and Michael Alfonso has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Michael Alfonso — 47%
- Kevin Hermening — 34%
- Jessi Ebben — 17%
- Niina Baum — 2%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.