Wisconsin 6th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Wisconsin 6th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 11, 2026. The model has Brad Smith narrowly ahead of Aaron Wojciechowski, 45% to 11% in a 8-candidate field. Brad Smith leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Brad Smith — 45%
- Aaron Wojciechowski — 11%
- Amanda Bell — 7%
- Michael Heidenreich — 7%
- Joey Marschall — 7%
- Kelly Brown — 7%
- John Macho — 7%
- Kortney Oldham — 7%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.