Wisconsin 6th — House 2026 Dem Primary

The Wisconsin 6th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 11, 2026. The model favors Brad Smith at 69%, ahead of Aaron Wojciechowski at 12% in a 7-candidate field. Brad Smith leads the field in reported fundraising and Aaron Wojciechowski has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Brad Smith — 69%
  2. Aaron Wojciechowski — 12%
  3. Amanda Bell — 4%
  4. Michael Heidenreich — 3%
  5. Joey Marschall — 3%
  6. John Macho — 3%
  7. Kortney Oldham — 3%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

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