Wisconsin 4th — House 2026 General Election

The Wisconsin 4th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Gwen Moore the heavy favorite at 100%, with Republican Purnima Nath at 0%. Gwen Moore is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Gwen Moore (incumbent) — 100%
  2. Purnima Nath — 0%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model