Wisconsin 4th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Wisconsin 4th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 11, 2026. The model makes Gwen Moore the heavy favorite at 94%, with Amy Donahue at 3% in a 3-candidate field. Gwen Moore is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Gwen Moore (incumbent) — 94%
- Amy Donahue — 3%
- Asher Smale — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.