Wisconsin 3rd — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Wisconsin 3rd — House rep primary is scheduled for August 11, 2026. The model makes Derrick Van Orden the heavy favorite at 97%, with Gavin Solomon at 3%. Derrick Van Orden is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Derrick Van Orden (incumbent) — 97%
- Gavin Solomon — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.