Wisconsin 1st — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Wisconsin 1st — House rep primary is scheduled for August 11, 2026. The model makes Bryan Steil the heavy favorite at 94%, with Jose Vera at 3% in a 3-candidate field. Bryan Steil is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Bryan Steil (incumbent) — 94%
- Jose Vera — 3%
- Connor Walleck — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.