Wisconsin 1st — House 2026 General Election
The Wisconsin 1st — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model favors Republican Bryan Steil at 72%, ahead of Democrat Mitchell Berman at 28%. Bryan Steil is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Bryan Steil (incumbent) — 72%
- Mitchell Berman — 28%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.