Wisconsin 1st — House 2026 General Election
The Wisconsin 1st — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Bryan Steil the clear favorite at 86%, ahead of Democrat Mitchell Berman at 14%. Bryan Steil is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Bryan Steil (incumbent) — 86%
- Mitchell Berman — 14%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.