Wisconsin 1st — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Wisconsin 1st — House dem primary is scheduled for August 11, 2026. The model makes Mitchell Berman the heavy favorite at 91%, with Peter Burgelis at 3% in a 4-candidate field. Mitchell Berman leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Mitchell Berman — 91%
- Peter Burgelis — 3%
- Lorenzo Santos — 3%
- Miguel Aranda — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.