Wisconsin 1st — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Wisconsin 1st — House dem primary is scheduled for August 11, 2026. The model makes Mitchell Berman the clear favorite at 75%, ahead of Randy Bryce at 4% in a 8-candidate field. Mitchell Berman leads the field in reported fundraising and Randy Bryce has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Mitchell Berman — 75%
- Randy Bryce — 4%
- Miguel Aranda — 3%
- Gage Stills — 3%
- Peter Burgelis — 3%
- Enrique Casiano — 3%
- Lorenzo Santos — 3%
- Travis Beckius — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.