Wisconsin Governor 2026 General Election

The Wisconsin Governor general election is on November 3, 2026. The model favors Democrat Mandela Barnes at 65%, ahead of Republican Tom Tiffany at 35%. Mandela Barnes leads the field in reported fundraising and Tom Tiffany has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Mandela Barnes — 65%
  2. Tom Tiffany — 35%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.

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