Wisconsin Governor 2026 Dem Primary
The Wisconsin Governor dem primary is scheduled for August 11, 2026. The model sees a close race: Sara Rodriguez edges Mandela Barnes, 26% to 22% in a 10-candidate field. David Crowley leads the field in reported fundraising and Sara Rodriguez has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Sara Rodriguez — 26%
- Mandela Barnes — 22%
- David Crowley — 14%
- Kelda Roys — 14%
- Francesca Hong — 7%
- Joel Brennan — 5%
- Missy Hughes — 3%
- Brett Hulsey — 3%
+2 more candidates
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.