Washington 10th — House 2026 Primary
The Washington 10th — House primary is scheduled for August 4, 2026. The model makes Democrat Marilyn Strickland the clear favorite at 77%, ahead of Kurtis Engle (Union) at 5% in a 6-candidate field. Marilyn Strickland is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Marilyn Strickland (incumbent) — 77%
- Kurtis Engle (Union) — 5%
- Derek Maynes — 5%
- Chris D. Chung — 5%
- Adam Arafat — 4%
- Alex Scheel — 4%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.