Washington 9th — House 2026 Primary
The Washington 9th — House primary is scheduled for August 4, 2026. The model sees a close race: Democrat Adam Smith edges independent Kshama Sawant, 46% to 44% in a 5-candidate field. Adam Smith is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Adam Smith (incumbent) — 46%
- Kshama Sawant — 44%
- Jacob Perasso (Socialist Workers) — 4%
- Doug Basler — 3%
- Melissa Chaudhry — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.