Washington 9th — House 2026 General Election
The Washington 9th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Adam Smith the heavy favorite at 100%, with Republican Doug Basler at 0%. Adam Smith is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Adam Smith (incumbent) — 100%
- Doug Basler — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.