Washington 8th — House 2026 Primary

The Washington 8th — House primary is scheduled for August 4, 2026. The model has Democrat Kim Schrier narrowly ahead of Republican Trinh Ha, 53% to 15% in a 6-candidate field. Kim Schrier is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Kim Schrier (incumbent) — 53%
  2. Trinh Ha — 15%
  3. Spencer Meline — 15%
  4. Bob Hagglund — 8%
  5. Andres Valleza — 7%
  6. Keith Arnold — 3%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

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