Washington 4th — House 2026 General Election
The Washington 4th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model favors Republican Amanda McKinney at 73%, ahead of Republican Jerrod Sessler at 27%. Amanda McKinney leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Amanda McKinney — 73%
- Jerrod Sessler — 27%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.