Washington 3rd — House 2026 Primary
The Washington 3rd — House primary is scheduled for August 4, 2026. The model sees a close race: Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez edges Republican John Braun, 36% to 35% in a 9-candidate field. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (incumbent) — 36%
- John Braun — 35%
- Brent Hennrich — 13%
- Antony Barran — 9%
- Lawrence Kellogg — 2%
- John P. Roco — 2%
- John Saulie-Rohman — 2%
- Austin Braswell — 1%
+1 more candidates
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.