Washington 3rd — House 2026 Primary

The Washington 3rd — House primary is scheduled for August 4, 2026. The model sees a close race: Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez edges Republican John Braun, 36% to 35% in a 9-candidate field. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (incumbent) — 36%
  2. John Braun — 35%
  3. Brent Hennrich — 19%
  4. Antony Barran — 3%
  5. Troy Rasband — 2%
  6. Lawrence Kellogg — 1%
  7. John P. Roco — 1%
  8. Austin Braswell — 1%

+1 more candidates

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

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