Washington 2nd — House 2026 Primary

The Washington 2nd — House primary is scheduled for August 4, 2026. The model favors Democrat Rick Larsen at 75%, ahead of Republican Edwin H. Feller at 10% in a 4-candidate field. Rick Larsen is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Rick Larsen (incumbent) — 75%
2. Edwin H. Feller — 10%
3. Tomas Scheel — 9%
4. Devin Hermanson — 6%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.

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