Washington 2nd — House 2026 Primary
The Washington 2nd — House primary is scheduled for August 4, 2026. The model makes Democrat Rick Larsen the clear favorite at 77%, ahead of Republican Edwin H. Feller at 8% in a 4-candidate field. Rick Larsen is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Rick Larsen (incumbent) — 77%
- Edwin H. Feller — 8%
- Devin Hermanson — 8%
- Tomas Scheel — 8%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.