Washington 2nd — House 2026 General Election
The Washington 2nd — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Rick Larsen the clear favorite at 75%, ahead of Democrat Tomas Scheel at 25%. Rick Larsen is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Rick Larsen (incumbent) — 75%
- Tomas Scheel — 25%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated September 11, 2026.