Virginia Senate 2026 Rep Primary

The Virginia Senate rep primary is scheduled for August 4, 2026. The model makes Bert Mizusawa the heavy favorite at 90%, with Kim Farington at 4% in a 4-candidate field. Bert Mizusawa leads the field in reported fundraising. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Bert Mizusawa — 90%
2. Kim Farington — 4%
3. Chuck Smith — 3%
4. David Williams — 3%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model