Virginia Senate 2026 Rep Primary
The Virginia Senate rep primary is scheduled for August 4, 2026. The model favors Bert Mizusawa at 65%, ahead of Kim Farington at 22% in a 4-candidate field. Bert Mizusawa leads the field in reported fundraising. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Bert Mizusawa — 65%
- Kim Farington — 22%
- David Williams — 7%
- Chuck Smith — 7%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.