Virginia Senate 2026 Rep Primary
The Virginia Senate rep primary is scheduled for August 4, 2026. The model makes Bert Mizusawa the clear favorite at 80%, ahead of Kim Farington at 14% in a 4-candidate field. Bert Mizusawa leads the field in reported fundraising. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Bert Mizusawa — 80%
- Kim Farington — 14%
- David Williams — 3%
- Chuck Smith — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated September 11, 2026.