Virginia Senate 2026 Rep Primary

The Virginia Senate rep primary is scheduled for August 4, 2026. The model makes Bert Mizusawa the clear favorite at 80%, ahead of Kim Farington at 13% in a 4-candidate field. Bert Mizusawa leads the field in reported fundraising. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Bert Mizusawa — 80%
  2. Kim Farington — 13%
  3. Chuck Smith — 3%
  4. David Williams — 3%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model