Virginia 9th — House 2026 General Election
The Virginia 9th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Morgan Griffith the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat Adam Murphy at 0%. Morgan Griffith is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Morgan Griffith (incumbent) — 100%
- Adam Murphy — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.