Virginia 9th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Virginia 9th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 4, 2026. The model favors Joy Powers at 68%, ahead of Adam Murphy at 29% in a 3-candidate field. Joy Powers leads the field in reported fundraising and Adam Murphy has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Joy Powers — 68%
- Adam Murphy — 29%
- Douglas Crockett — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.