Virginia 9th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Virginia 9th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 4, 2026. The model makes Joy Powers the clear favorite at 88%, ahead of Adam Murphy at 9% in a 3-candidate field. Joy Powers leads the field in reported fundraising and Adam Murphy has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Joy Powers — 88%
- Adam Murphy — 9%
- Douglas Crockett — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.