Virginia 7th — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Virginia 7th — House rep primary is scheduled for August 4, 2026. The model makes Doug Ollivant the heavy favorite at 94%, with Philip Harding at 3% in a 3-candidate field. Doug Ollivant leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Doug Ollivant — 94%
- Philip Harding — 3%
- Ricky Smithers — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.