Virginia 5th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Virginia 5th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 4, 2026. The model makes Tom Perriello the heavy favorite at 94%, with Robert Tracinski at 3% in a 3-candidate field. Tom Perriello leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Tom Perriello — 94%
- Robert Tracinski — 3%
- Suzanne Krzyzanowski — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.