Virginia 2nd — House 2026 General Election
The Virginia 2nd — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model sees a close race: Democrat Elaine Luria edges Republican Jen Kiggans, 53% to 47%. Jen Kiggans leads the field in reported fundraising, Elaine Luria has the most tracked endorsements, and incumbent Jen Kiggans trails in the forecast. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Elaine Luria — 53%
- Jen Kiggans (incumbent) — 47%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.