Virginia 2nd — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Virginia 2nd — House dem primary is scheduled for August 4, 2026. The model makes Elaine Luria the heavy favorite at 91%, with Nila Devanath at 3% in a 4-candidate field. Elaine Luria leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Elaine Luria — 91%
- Nila Devanath — 3%
- Patrick Mosolf — 3%
- Bill Fleming — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.