Virginia 1st — House 2026 General Election
The Virginia 1st — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model favors Republican Rob Wittman at 69%, ahead of Democrat Shannon Taylor at 31%. Rob Wittman is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising and Shannon Taylor has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Rob Wittman (incumbent) — 69%
- Shannon Taylor — 31%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.