Virginia 1st — House 2026 General Election
The Virginia 1st — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model sees a close race: Republican Rob Wittman edges Democrat Shannon Taylor, 53% to 47%. Rob Wittman is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising and Shannon Taylor has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Rob Wittman (incumbent) — 53%
- Shannon Taylor — 47%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.