Utah 4th — House 2026 General Election
The Utah 4th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Mike Kennedy the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat Jonny Larsen at 0%. Mike Kennedy is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising and Jonny Larsen has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Mike Kennedy (incumbent) — 100%
- Jonny Larsen — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.