Utah 4th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Utah 4th — House dem primary is scheduled for June 23, 2026. The model makes Jonny Larsen the heavy favorite at 97%, with Archie Williams III at 3%. Jonny Larsen leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Jonny Larsen — 97%
- Archie Williams III — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.