Utah 2nd — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Utah 2nd — House rep primary is scheduled for June 23, 2026. The model makes Blake Moore the heavy favorite at 92%, with Karianne Lisonbee at 5% in a 3-candidate field. Blake Moore leads the field in reported fundraising and Karianne Lisonbee has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Blake Moore — 92%
- Karianne Lisonbee — 5%
- Colton Hatch — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.