Utah 2nd — House 2026 Dem Primary

The Utah 2nd — House dem primary is scheduled for June 23, 2026. The model makes Peter Crosby the clear favorite at 89%, ahead of Tyler Farnsworth at 4% in a 4-candidate field. Peter Crosby leads the field in reported fundraising. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Peter Crosby — 89%
  2. Tyler Farnsworth — 4%
  3. Jarom Gillins — 4%
  4. Ian Parrish — 4%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model