Utah 1st — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Utah 1st — House rep primary is scheduled for June 23, 2026. The model makes Riley Owen the heavy favorite at 90%, with Stone Fonua at 3% in a 4-candidate field. Riley Owen leads the field in reported fundraising. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Riley Owen — 90%
- Stone Fonua — 3%
- Dave Robinson — 3%
- Jonathan Lopez — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.