Utah 1st — House 2026 Rep Primary

The Utah 1st — House rep primary is scheduled for June 23, 2026. The model makes Riley Owen the heavy favorite at 91%, with Stone Fonua at 3% in a 4-candidate field. Riley Owen leads the field in reported fundraising. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Riley Owen — 91%
2. Stone Fonua — 3%
3. Dave Robinson — 3%
4. Jonathan Lopez — 3%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

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