Utah 1st — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Utah 1st — House dem primary is scheduled for June 23, 2026. The model favors Ben McAdams at 61%, ahead of Nate Blouin at 30% in a 6-candidate field. Ben McAdams leads the field in reported fundraising and Nate Blouin has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Ben McAdams — 61%
- Nate Blouin — 30%
- Liban Mohamed — 3%
- Michael Farrell — 2%
- Eva Lopez Chavez — 2%
- Luis Villarreal — 2%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.