Texas Senate 2026 Primary
The Texas Senate primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model favors Ted Brown at 61%, ahead of Daniel Sims at 39%. Ted Brown leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Ted Brown — 61%
- Daniel Sims — 39%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.