Texas Senate 2026 Primary
The Texas Senate primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Daniel Sims the clear favorite at 82%, ahead of Ted Brown at 18%. Daniel Sims leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Daniel Sims — 82%
- Ted Brown — 18%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.