Texas 38th — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Texas 38th — House rep primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model has Shelly deZevallos narrowly ahead of Larry Rubin, 24% to 12% in a 9-candidate field. Shelly deZevallos leads the field in reported fundraising and Larry Rubin has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Shelly deZevallos — 24%
- Larry Rubin — 12%
- Michael Pratt — 10%
- Barrett McNabb — 10%
- Carmen María Montiel — 9%
- Jeff Yuna — 9%
- Craig Goralski — 9%
- Avery Ayers — 9%
+1 more candidates
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.