Texas 37th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Texas 37th — House dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Greg Casar the heavy favorite at 97%, with Esther Fleharty at 3%. Greg Casar is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Greg Casar (incumbent) — 97%
- Esther Fleharty — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.