Texas 36th — House 2026 Dem Primary

The Texas 36th — House dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Doug Rogers the heavy favorite at 97%, with Rhonda Hart at 3%. Doug Rogers leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Doug Rogers — 97%
  2. Rhonda Hart — 3%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

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