Texas 33th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Texas 33th — House dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model sees a close race: Colin Allred edges Julie Johnson, 50% to 45% in a 4-candidate field. Colin Allred leads the field in reported fundraising, Julie Johnson has the most tracked endorsements, and incumbent Julie Johnson trails in the forecast. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Colin Allred — 50%
- Julie Johnson (incumbent) — 45%
- Zeeshan Hafeez — 3%
- Carlos Quintanilla — 2%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.