Texas 32th — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Texas 32th — House rep primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model favors Paul Bondar at 68%, ahead of Jace Yarbrough at 20% in a 7-candidate field. Paul Bondar leads the field in reported fundraising and Jace Yarbrough has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Paul Bondar — 68%
- Jace Yarbrough — 20%
- Gordon Heslop — 2%
- Darrell Day — 2%
- Aimee Carrasco — 2%
- Monty Montanez — 2%
- Abteen Vaziri — 2%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.