Texas 31th — House 2026 General Election
The Texas 31th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican John Carter the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat Justin Early at 0%. John Carter is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising and Justin Early has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- John Carter (incumbent) — 100%
- Justin Early — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.