Texas 31th — House 2026 General Election

The Texas 31th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican John Carter the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat Stuart Whitlow at 0%. John Carter is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. John Carter (incumbent) — 100%
  2. Stuart Whitlow — 0%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model