Texas 31th — House 2026 Dem Primary

The Texas 31th — House dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model favors Stuart Whitlow at 63%, ahead of Justin Early at 37%. Stuart Whitlow leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Stuart Whitlow — 63%
  2. Justin Early — 37%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

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