Texas 31th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Texas 31th — House dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Stuart Whitlow the clear favorite at 75%, ahead of Justin Early at 25%. Stuart Whitlow leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Stuart Whitlow — 75%
- Justin Early — 25%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.