Texas 31th — House 2026 Dem Primary

The Texas 31th — House dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model sees a close race: Justin Early edges Stuart Whitlow, 51% to 49%. Justin Early leads the field in reported fundraising and Stuart Whitlow has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Justin Early — 51%
  2. Stuart Whitlow — 49%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model