Texas 30th — House 2026 Rep Primary

The Texas 30th — House rep primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Sholdon Daniels the clear favorite at 85%, ahead of Gregorio Heise at 9% in a 4-candidate field. Sholdon Daniels leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Sholdon Daniels — 85%
  2. Gregorio Heise — 9%
  3. Everett Jackson — 3%
  4. Nils Walker — 3%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model