Texas 30th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Texas 30th — House dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Frederick Haynes III the heavy favorite at 94%, with Barbara Mallory Caraway at 3% in a 3-candidate field. Frederick Haynes III leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Frederick Haynes III — 94%
- Barbara Mallory Caraway — 3%
- Rodney LaBruce — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.