Texas 29th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Texas 29th — House dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Sylvia Garcia the heavy favorite at 93%, with Jarvis Johnson at 4% in a 3-candidate field. Sylvia Garcia is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Sylvia Garcia (incumbent) — 93%
- Jarvis Johnson — 4%
- Robert Slater — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.