Texas 28th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Texas 28th — House dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Henry Cuellar the heavy favorite at 94%, with Ricardo Villarreal at 3% in a 3-candidate field. Henry Cuellar is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Henry Cuellar (incumbent) — 94%
- Ricardo Villarreal — 3%
- Andrew Vantine — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.