Texas 27th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Texas 27th — House dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Tanya Lloyd the heavy favorite at 94%, with Eustaquio Castro-Mendoza at 3% in a 3-candidate field. Tanya Lloyd leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Tanya Lloyd — 94%
- Eustaquio Castro-Mendoza — 3%
- Wayne Raasch — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.