Texas 26th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Texas 26th — House dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Ernest Lineberger the heavy favorite at 96%, with Steven Shook at 4%. Ernest Lineberger leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Ernest Lineberger — 96%
- Steven Shook — 4%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.