Texas 24th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Texas 24th — House dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Kevin Burge the clear favorite at 85%, ahead of Jon Buchwald at 10% in a 3-candidate field. Kevin Burge leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Kevin Burge — 85%
- Jon Buchwald — 10%
- TJ Ware — 5%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.