Texas 24th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Texas 24th — House dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model favors Jon Buchwald at 62%, ahead of Kevin Burge at 27% in a 3-candidate field. Jon Buchwald leads the field in reported fundraising and Kevin Burge has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Jon Buchwald — 62%
- Kevin Burge — 27%
- TJ Ware — 11%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.