Texas 23th — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Texas 23th — House rep primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Brandon Herrera the heavy favorite at 93%, with Quico Canseco at 3% in a 3-candidate field. Brandon Herrera leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Brandon Herrera — 93%
- Quico Canseco — 3%
- Keith Barton — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.