Texas 23th — House 2026 General Election
The Texas 23th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Brandon Herrera the clear favorite at 81%, ahead of Democrat Katy Padilla Stout at 19%. Brandon Herrera leads the field in reported fundraising and Katy Padilla Stout has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Brandon Herrera — 81%
- Katy Padilla Stout — 19%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.